Pepe faces a crucial moment as it rejects from a key resistance level aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. Price action now tests the lower bounds of the current trading range.
The memecoin Pepe (PEPE) has seen increased volatility over the last 24 hours, following a clear rejection from a major resistance level that aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. As the token now trades just above the value area low of its range, traders are watching closely for signs of either continuation or breakdown. This zone is becoming a battleground between a bullish higher-low formation and bearish rejection continuation.
Key technical points
- Rejection at 0.618 Fibonacci: Price was rejected from a key resistance level that perfectly aligns with the golden Fibonacci level.
- Support at Value Area Low: PEPE is clinging to support at the VAL, a critical structure in the current trading range.
- Potential Rotation to Point of Control: A breakdown below the VAL could lead to a full retracement back to the point of control, where another 0.618 Fib level resides.
After being rejected from the 0.618 Fibonacci level, PEPE quickly retreated to the value area low of the range. This rejection confirms the strength of overhead resistance, and the market now faces a binary scenario: either form a higher low for bullish continuation or rotate back to the point of control if support fails.
The POC sits as a strong support candidate due to the confluence of volume and a second 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. A reaction from this area could validate the next higher low and preserve the bullish structure, but failure to hold it will likely confirm weakness and open the door to a deeper decline.
Despite recent weakness, PEPE has not fully broken down. Technically, the current setup still offers a valid higher-low scenario. This means that dips toward POC support could be treated as buying opportunities, but only if confirmation signals such as bullish engulfing candles or volume spikes occur.
There is also a potential double bottom pattern forming, though traders should be cautious about relying on this formation without additional confluence. The combination of structure, Fibonacci alignment, and volume profile levels will be key to confirming the reliability of this potential reversal area.
What to expect in the coming price action
If PEPE can maintain its footing above the POC and form a confirmed higher low, the token may attempt another move toward range highs. However, loss of support will turn attention to deeper downside levels and a likely breakdown from the current range structure.
