Gemini has added a Grok-powered feature to its prediction markets platform as the crypto exchange expands beyond spot trading.
Summary
- Gemini added Grok-powered feeds to personalize prediction markets using user positions, watchlists, and trading history.
- Q1 prediction market revenue reached $400,000, while Gemini’s total revenue rose 42% to $50.3M quarterly.
- Related reports show Gemini keeps expanding into regulated markets, even as lawsuits test prediction products.
The new feature, called Command Center, gives users a personalized market feed. It uses open positions, watchlists, and past prediction activity to select what each user sees.
Gemini brings AI into prediction markets
Gemini said Command Center can track crypto, sports, commodities, politics, economics, and culture. The company said the tool aims to reduce the time users spend searching news and social feeds.
The product uses Grok and SpaceXAI models to create real-time market summaries, sentiment checks, and personalized signals. Gemini said, “Rather than forcing you to dig through social feeds to find what’s relevant, Command Center meets you where you are.”
Moreover, the launch follows Gemini’s recent move into agentic trading. That feature lets users connect AI models such as ChatGPT and Claude to their Gemini accounts.
Those tools can monitor markets and place trades under user-set limits. The latest Grok feature is different because it focuses on market discovery and prediction feeds, not direct trade execution.
Prediction markets remain a small revenue line
Gemini’s prediction markets business is still early. The company said the unit made $400,000 in revenue from 20,000 users in the first quarter.
That figure remains small compared with larger platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Still, Gemini’s wider business showed growth in the quarter. Total revenue rose 42% year over year to $50.3 million.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Gemini’s exchange revenue fell 27% as trading volume dropped. That pressure helps explain why the company is building new revenue lines across credit cards, services, derivatives, and prediction markets.
Regulatory pressure still follows the sector
Gemini’s prediction market expansion comes with legal and regulatory attention. New York sued Gemini Titan and Coinbase Financial Markets in April, claiming their event markets broke state gambling rules.
Gemini also gained more federal market infrastructure this year. Its Olympus affiliate received a CFTC clearing license in April, after Gemini Titan secured a CFTC market license in December 2025.
In a separate development, the CFTC has asked a court to scrap Gemini’s $5 million enforcement settlement from a 2022 case. The agency said the case would not have been filed under its current standards.
The Grok launch shows how Gemini is using AI to support its broader market strategy. It also places prediction markets closer to personalized trading tools, as crypto exchanges look for growth outside basic crypto trading.
